topsecretdailynotesfile

Sep 8, 2026, 11:00 PM

TODAY

STARTING PITCHER RANKINGS

Pitchers are ranked in order of their Forecaster/Daily Notes projected fantasy points (FPTS), using ESPN's standard scoring system (2 points per win, minus-2 per loss, 3 per inning, 1 per K, minus-1 apiece per hit or walk allowed, minus-2 per earned run allowed).

T: The pitcher's handedness. OPP: Opposing team. RST%: The pitcher's roster percentage in ESPN leagues. W%: The individual starting pitcher's win probability using ESPN projections. IP: Projected innings pitched. H+BB: Projected hits plus walks allowed. ER: Projected earned runs allowed. K: Projected strikeouts.

If a team is planning on using an "opener" to start their game, but will rely on a "bulk pitcher" to follow him on the mound after 1-2 innings, the bulk pitcher is listed and indicated with an asterisk.

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	W%	IP	H+BB	ER	K
15.6	Tarik Skubal	L	CIN	99.4%	45%	6.1	6.5	2.0	7.4
14.2	Cam Schlittler	R	COL	99.3%	42%	6.1	6.8	2.1	6.8
12.7	Jacob Misiorowski	R	CHC	99.5%	33%	5.4	6.1	2.0	6.4
11.6	Quinn Mathews	L	@SF	4.3%	30%	5.4	6.7	1.8	5.6
10.6	Sean Manaea	L	@MIA	6.3%	32%	5.6	6.9	2.5	5.6
10.4	Sean Burke	R	PIT	66.9%	32%	5.9	7.7	2.7	6.0
10.2	Sandy Alcantara	R	NYM	90.0%	35%	6.0	7.7	2.6	5.0
10.2	Hayden Wesneski	R	@PHI	18.7%	28%	5.3	6.2	2.1	4.9
10.1	Bryce Miller	R	TEX	30.4%	35%	5.2	6.3	2.2	5.0
10.1	Andrew Painter	R	HOU	24.5%	33%	5.5	6.7	2.5	5.2
9.8	Casey Mize	R	WSH	26.5%	30%	5.0	5.8	1.9	4.5
9.8	Tanner Bibee	R	@BAL	62.3%	38%	5.9	7.6	3.0	5.4
9.7	Riley Cornelio	R	@SD	0.0%	23%	5.0	6.1	1.8	4.6
9.7	Landen Roupp	R	STL	22.0%	31%	5.5	7.3	2.3	5.1
9.4	Dean Kremer	R	@DET	2.7%	35%	5.7	7.4	2.9	5.2
9.3	Bubba Chandler	R	@CWS	21.2%	29%	5.0	6.5	2.1	5.0
8.9	David Peterson	L	@MIL	5.6%	26%	5.4	7.5	2.6	5.5
8.8	Reid Detmers	L	@BOS	71.8%	26%	5.3	7.1	2.8	5.8
8.7	Freddy Peralta	R	@ATL	75.6%	29%	5.0	6.5	2.5	5.2
8.5	Nick Lodolo	L	@LAD	38.9%	21%	5.3	7.0	2.6	5.0
8.0	Gabriel Hughes	R	@NYY	0.3%	21%	4.9	6.3	2.2	4.2
7.8	Brandon Young	R	CLE	21.0%	29%	5.6	7.5	2.9	4.5
7.6	Drew Anderson	R	MIN	2.1%	24%	5.0	6.7	2.5	4.5
7.3	Michael Wacha	R	ARI	73.4%	34%	5.7	7.8	3.3	4.5
6.9	Cody Bradford	L	@SEA	1.4%	17%	4.8	6.6	2.5	4.2
6.6	Corbin Burnes	R	@KC	12.9%	8%	4.0	5.2	1.8	3.7
6.5	AJ Smith-Shawver	R	TB	1.5%	18%	4.7	6.5	2.5	4.2
6.3	Patrick Sandoval	L	LAA	3.3%	23%	4.7	7.0	2.8	4.9
5.2	Jose Soriano	R	@ATH	80.1%	32%	5.5	8.9	4.0	5.6
2.9	Jack Perkins	R	TOR	1.4%	18%	4.5	7.5	3.9	4.8

TOMORROW

STARTING PITCHER RANKINGS

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	W%	IP	H+BB	ER	K
16.0	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	R	CIN	99.8%	55%	6.3	6.7	2.0	7.1
14.7	Cristopher Sanchez	L	HOU	99.8%	46%	6.4	7.3	2.3	6.9
11.7	Hunter Brown	R	@PHI	91.1%	27%	5.7	7.0	2.3	6.2
11.1	Logan Henderson	R	CHC	74.0%	31%	5.4	6.1	2.2	5.5
10.9	Blade Tidwell	R	STL	0.7%	35%	5.7	7.1	2.2	5.2
10.7	Kade Anderson	L	TEX	17.6%	30%	4.9	5.4	1.7	4.7
10.2	Foster Griffin	L	@BAL	77.7%	34%	5.6	6.8	2.7	5.5
10.1	Will Warren	R	COL	35.9%	35%	5.6	7.4	2.7	5.8
10.0	Kevin Gausman	R	@MIL	84.1%	31%	5.8	7.5	2.8	5.8
9.9	Jackson Kent	L	@SD	0.3%	27%	5.5	7.0	2.2	4.9
9.4	Cal Quantrill	R	@SEA	27.3%	25%	5.4	6.8	2.4	4.8
9.1	Robert Stock	R	@MIA	0.3%	28%	4.9	6.4	2.0	4.8
8.9	Zebby Matthews	R	@DET	15.3%	35%	5.9	7.9	3.2	5.5
8.8	Shane Baz	R	CLE	30.9%	30%	5.7	7.6	2.9	5.2
8.8	Davis Martin	R	PIT	31.0%	29%	5.4	7.1	2.5	4.9
8.6	Andre Pallante	R	@SF	12.9%	32%	5.8	8.0	2.6	4.4
8.5	Keider Montero	R	MIN	15.3%	29%	5.2	6.3	2.3	3.9
8.5	Walker Buehler	R	WSH	8.9%	28%	5.0	6.5	2.1	4.3
8.4	Jake Bennett	L	LAA	34.4%	26%	4.7	5.7	2.2	4.4
8.0	Janson Junk	R	NYM	2.3%	19%	4.7	5.8	2.0	3.7
7.0	Ryan Johnson	R	@BOS	1.1%	20%	5.0	6.8	2.7	4.6
6.8	Tomoyuki Sugano	R	@NYY	2.7%	27%	5.4	7.3	3.1	4.3
6.5	Rhett Lowder	R	@LAD	2.5%	16%	5.1	7.3	2.8	4.4
5.7	Carmen Mlodzinski	R	@CWS	2.7%	15%	4.3	6.2	2.3	3.9
5.4	Reynaldo Lopez	R	TB	4.8%	14%	4.2	6.1	2.4	3.8
5.3	Griffin Jax	R	@ATL	34.7%	8%	3.7	5.2	2.1	3.8
5.2	Daniel Lynch IV	L	ARI	0.7%	22%	4.7	6.8	2.9	3.7
4.1	Zac Gallen	R	@KC	32.8%	8%	4.1	6.1	2.7	3.4
	TBD		@ATH	0.0%	0%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
-0.9	Joey Estes	R	TOR	0.0%	13%	4.4	7.5	4.8	3.2

PITCHER	OPP.	MONEY LINE	PROJ. WIN%	VALUE %	RUN LINE	OV	VALUE %	GAME TOTAL	O/U	xRUNS	VALUE %
Max Fried	@SF	-126	55.3	+0.71	-1.0	+106	+0.71	7.0	O -108	7.56	-0.01
Logan Webb	NYY	+104	44.7	-10.55	+1.0	-138	-10.55	7.0	U -112	7.56	-8.99

PITCHER	OPP.	MONEY LINE	PROJ. WIN%	VALUE %	RUN LINE	OV	VALUE %	GAME TOTAL	O/U	xRUNS	VALUE %
Max Fried	@ SF	-126	55.2	0.66	-1.0	+106	0.66	7.0	O -105	7.57	1.64
Logan Webb	vs. NYY	+104	44.8	-10.48	+1.0	-138	-10.48		U -115		-10.37