TAB Betting Blog: Sure Knee wont prevent win at Moonee Valley

The racing continues at Moonee Valley and Ascot and Nick Quinn from tab.com.au has a look through the cards to pick out some winners on the day.

BEST BET: Sure Knee (Moonee Valley Race 7, No.1)

NEXT BEST: Trekking (Ascot Race 8, No.1)

VALUE BET: Ponga (Moonee Valley Race 6, No.7)

THE VALLEY

Race 7

The second leg of the quaddie sees on of the shortest priced fancies on the program in Sure Knee from the Chris Waller stable.

Sure Knee won well at Flemington on Melbourne Cup Day and must be considered the runner to beat.

She is racing her way through the grades nicely and is in well at the weights after the claim for Teodore Nugent.

She is currently $2.15 which looks a tad skinny, if you like her I would advice you to keep your powder dry as you should get closer to $2.50 on race day.

There has been early money for the Grahame Begg trained Vanuatu who has firmed from $3.80 into $3.50.

She is a mare with plenty of upset and a must for the quaddie.

If there is going to be a long priced winner I anticipate that it could be Something Silver.

Something Silver is racing better than her form indicates and won really well at this track on August 19.

At $17 she is over the odds and I expect her to start around $11 and be a knockout chance.

Suggested bet: Sure Knee the win.

Race 9

An open way to end the day at Moonee Valley where if you find the winner the value will take care of itself.

Spirit Of Aquada has opened a $4.60 favourite and resumes from a spell when last seen in the Bletchingly Stakes.

The runner that I am keen on is the $5 second elect Morrissy from the Costens stable.

Morrissy won well at Sandown in June and has ran at his past three outings despite being a beaten favourite on each occasion.

He was well supported last start at Flemignton over the carnival and ran well enough to warrant being the one to beat here.

There has been early money for the fourth emergency Gennady from the Jack Laing stable.

Obviously three runners would need to be scratched in order for Gennady to gain a start and if he does he must be respected.

Gennady resumed from a spell with an encouraging third behind the promising Neighbourhood and has won three of his six career starts.

Suggested Bet: Morrissy each-way.

WINTERBOTTOM STAKES

Ascot Race 9

A terrific edition of the Group 1 Winterbottom Stakes with the James Cummings saddling up three runners including the popular favourite Trekking.

Trekking has enjoyed a tremendous campaign including a win at Caulfield in the Group 2 Schillaci Stakes and placings in the TAB Everest and the Redzel Stakes.

Trekking has been well backed in pre-post markets.

Trekking opened $11 on October 15 when markets were posted and his price was slashed to $6 after his placing in the Everest.

He has firmed from $3 into $2.30 since the barrier draw and will be one of the best backed runners on the program and shapes as the one to beat.

I respect the Cummings runners at double figure odds Viridine and Home Of The Brave.

Viridine returned to form with a nice win at Sandown last start while Home Of The Brave did everything but win last start.

The major danger to Trekking appears to be Hey Doc who looks over the odds at $18.

Hey Doc caught the eye with a placing at Sandown behind Teleplay and does his best racing second-up where he has had five starts for two wins and a placing.

Suggested Bet: Trekking the win.