TAB Betting Blog: Sydney FC a sure thing vs. Victory

A-League Round 6: Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory (Sunday 6:30pm AEDT)

Sydney FC look primed to continue their recent domination of Melbourne Victory when they clash at Jubilee Stadium on Sunday night.

Despite a three-game skid between April 2018 and January this year where the Victory won three straight against the Sky Blues, Sydney FC have won the other nine clashes since November 2016.

Melbourne come into this fixture on the back foot with life under Marco Kurz beginning a little slower than most would've expected. They have just one win in their opening five games and have been ravaged with injuries to key players as well.

Sydney FC will get a few players back from international duty. However, it remains to be seen whether Rhyan Grant or Andrew Redmayne will play any part.

The defending A-League champions have only dropped one game so far this season and have looked sharp in most of their outings. I would also argue that their one defeat (1-0 away to Western Sydney) was extremely unlucky so they have hit the ground running in their title defence. On the flip side, Melbourne Victory are still trying to adapt to Kurz's style and haven't shown me enough at this stage to suggest they can trouble the home team.

Tip: Sydney FC to beat Melbourne Victory at $1.50

NFL Week 11: Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons (Monday 5am AEDT)

The Carolina Panthers experienced an agonising loss last week, but they should be able to claim their sixth win of the season when they entertain the Atlanta Falcons at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte early Monday morning.

Having won five of their previous six games, the Panthers were in good form before their clash away to the Green Bay Packers. In the last play of the game, running back Christian McCaffrey was ruled short of the goal line, resulting in the Packers holding on for a 24-16 victory.

It was a tough call for the Panthers to accept, but unfortunately for them, the replay did not conclusively show that McCaffrey scored a touchdown.

McCaffrey has starred this season with 11 rushing touchdowns and 989 rushing yards along with three touchdown catches and 396 receiving yards. His performance has lessened the load on backup quarterback Kyle Allen, who has thrown 10 touchdown passes and five interceptions this season.

After suffering six straight losses, the Falcons were inspired in a 26-9 stunner away to the New Orleans Saints last week. The Falcons defence sacked Drew Brees six times, which almost matched their output for the entire season. However, the Falcons may have benefitted from a Saints team daydreaming about their bye week.

The Panthers have been consistent throughout the season and that should hold them in good stead against a Falcons side that has been disappointing apart from last week.

Tip: Carolina to defeat Atlanta by six points or more at $1.95

NFL Week 11: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints (Monday 5am AEDT)

The New Orleans Saints were awful last week in the Superdome, but they are expected to bounce back when they head to the state of Florida and lock horns with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium early Monday morning.

The Saints entered their bye week on a six-game winning streak and eyeing the top seed in the NFC bracket of the playoffs. After stumbling through a 26-9 home defeat to the Atlanta Falcons, who had one win prior to the game, the Saints must have wondered whether they entered last week's clash in arrogant fashion.

Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan was restricted to 182 passing yards, but his New Orleans counterpart Drew Brees was sacked six times and the running game could only manage 52 yards.

As inexplicable as the loss was, the Saints remain inside the top-10 for rushing yards conceded (sixth) and passing yards allowed (10th), so one blip on the radar is not cause for panic.

After losing four straight games, the Buccaneers broke through for a 30-27 home victory over the Arizona Cardinals. Four of the Buccaneers' six losses have been by seven points or less, so they have not been terrible despite their 3-6 record.

Tampa Bay average the third-most points per game this season (28.9), but they also allow the most points per game (31). That spells doom for the Buccaneers as they are facing a Saints team smarting from last week's shocker, particularly on offence.

Tip: New Orleans to beat Tampa Bay by six points or more at $1.90