TAB Betting Blog: Santa Ana Lane to scale Everest

Jockey Hugh Bowman riding Santa Ana Lane during Race 6 The Chairman's Sprint Prize. Lo Chun Kit /Getty Images

BEST BET: VICTOREM $2.60

(Randwick, Saturday, Race 5, No.1)

Classy sprinter who wouldn't be out of place in tougher races across the country, Victorem has won seven of his 16 career starts and caught the eye winning a recent Rosehill barrier trial. He's already been well supported after opening $3.60 and looks a class above his rivals.

NEXT BEST: BRUTAL $1.85

(Randwick, Saturday, Race 6, No.1)

One of the most exciting four year-olds in the country, Brutal resumed with a super win in the Group 2 Premiere Stakes and looks primed to make it two from two this campaign.

NEXT BEST: HILO

(Caulfield, Saturday, Race 3, No.6)

Hilo strung two wins together before running a credible sixth in the Thousand Guineas Prelude which has already proven a strong form reference.

He's drawn nicely and looks a good bet at around the $4 mark.

BEST VALUE BET: BACCARAT BABY

(Caulfield, Race 8, No.10)

Baccarat Baby is a rising Queensland star mare who resumed from a spell with a nice win at Eagle Farm and can handle the step up in class to salute.

She is building a strong race resume having won eight of her 16 career starts and must be respected.

BEST LONG SHOT: SUNLIGHT

(Randwick, Race 7, No.9)

Sunlight has always snuck under the radar, but she did beat Santa Ana Lane last start and has won seven times form 10 attempts over 1200 metres.

At big odds she should be in the finish.

CAULFIELD

RACE 6

An even edition of the Ethereal Stakes with early money for the second elect Vegas Jewel who has been backed form $5.50 into $5. The unbeaten filly won well on debut at Echuca for stepping up in grade to salute at Moonee Valley.

Celestial Falls opened $3.60 before drifting to $4. Celestial Falls won impressively at Flemington last start after being heavily backed and looks the one to beat.

At longer odds Snapdancer is worth keeping safe, I anticipate she'll be even better suited over more ground.

Suggested bet: Celestial Falls the win.

CAULFIELD CUP

An intriguing edition of the Caulfield Cup made even harder to assess with most of the key fancies drawing poorly.

I am tipping the Hates/Hayes/Dabernig trained import Constantinopole

He is a model of consistency having run in the top two at his past six starts and his recent trackwork has been irresistible.

Finche was fourth in last year's Melbourne Cup and appears to have taken the next step this spring.

Finche won the Kingston Town at Randwick on September 21 before running an eye catching second to Kings Will Dream in the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes at Flemington.

He does look a leading chance and is now getting out to an attractive price at $7.

The X-factor in the race is the Japanese runner Mer De Glace.

Mere De Glace comes into the race having won his past five starts including his last three at Group level. He looks the ideal Caulfield Cup prospect however the wide draw is a major concern.

The best longshot is Rostropovich.

Rostropovich on face value was underwhelming last start in the Turnbull Stakes, but looked like his tongue was waving around and a gear change should lead to significant improvement.

He had a good spring running fifth in both the Cox Plate behind Winx and in the Melbourne Cup. At around the $26 mark he looks over the odds.

One punter fancies Vow And Declare with a bet of $2000 at $11 placed on Tuesday.

Suggested bet: Constantinopole each-way.

RANDWICK

THE EVEREST

Race 7

A spirited betting race for the best part of 12 months as Redzel looks to win the event for a third straight year.

Redzel has been the benefactor of slow tempos and wet tracks in the first two years, but this year the speed will be on with addition of Nature Strip.

The two-time defending champion opened a $6 when markers were posted and got out to as much as $15 with one bet of $10,000 at $11 placed on September 7.

Again, Redzel will be in the hunt but the runner that I am tipping is Santa Ana Lane.

Santa Ana Lane caught the eye in the Gilgai Stakes and steps up to 1200 metres where he is a seven-time winner.

Santa Ana Lane has been a darling for punters, unless you like backing him when favourite.

The last four times he has started favourite he has been beaten, but he looks ideally placed to atone and claim the Everest.

At big odds I anticipate the two knockout chances are Sunlight and Nature Strip.

Connections finally got the tactics right with Nature Strip last start in the Group 1 Moir Stakes at Moonee Valley and if he is allowed to lead along in front he will be hard to catch.

He has won over 1200 metres and looks appealing at $26 and $6.50 the place.

Sunlight has always snuck under the radar, but she did beat Santa Ana Lane last start and has won seven times form 10 attempts over 1200 metres.

She shouldn't be $14.

Suggested bet: Santa Ana Lane.

RACE 8

Popular veteran goes around a clear favourite here looking to win his first race since April last year when he won the Group 1 Doncaster Mile.

His form without winning in that time has been outstanding including chasing home arguably the greatest of all-time in Winx four times.

One punter has parted with $4200 on Happy Clapper at $3.30.

Happy Clapper is a strong leading chance, but the runner that I am leaning to is the second elect Samadoubt.

Samadoubt has enjoyed a tremendous campaign including winning the Group 1 Winx Stakes and the Group 2 Chelmdsford.

Suggested bet: Samadoubt each-way

MONEY TALKS

RANDWICK $2,400 @ $3.50 - Angel Of Heaven (race 2, no.3)

$4,000 @ $2.50 - Victorem (race 5, no.1)

$5,000 @ $4.60 - Santa Ana Lane (race 7, no.1)

$10,000 @ $11 - Redzel (race 7, no.3)

$10,000 @ $7 - Arcadia Queen (race 7, no.11)

$10,000 @ $7 - Arcadia Queen (race 7, no.11)

$2,000 @ $4.80 - Arcadia Queen (race 7, no.11)

$4,200 @ $3.30 - Happy Clapper (race 8, no.1)

CAULFIELD

$2,000 @ $4 - Hilo (race 3, no.3)

$2,000 @ $2.90 - Miami Bound (race 4, no.9)

$2,000 @ $5 - Demerara (race 5, no.1)

$2,000 @ $3.80 AND $2,400 @ $3.50 - Celestial Falls (race 6, no.2)

$2,500 @ $11 - Vow And Declare (race 9, no.14)

MORPHETTVILLE

$4,800 @ $1.85 - Tongsai Boss (race 5, no.1)

$5,400 @ $3.10, $3,600 @ $2.80 - Xilong (race 4, no.3)