TAB Betting Blog: Chris Waller's Shillelagh an each-way bet

Chris Waller has Shillelagh in great condition for the Doomben Cup Fiona Hamilton/Racing Photos via Getty Images

It may be Election Day in Australia, but the biggest decision for racing fans is where to focus the attention with Group 1 racing across two states and tremendous line-ups at both Flemington and Rosehill.


BANDIPUR (Flemington, Race 3, No.2)

Atrack and distance specialist shooting for a third straight victory, Bandipur has drawn in barrier six with Brad Rawiller taking the ride- - I am surprised that he is not the favourite. He is the one to beat.

Bandipur should settle midfield and be too strong over the concluding stages.


Shillelagh (Doomben Race 8, No.11)

An ultra-consistent mare who has been racing well at the elite level, including a second place in the Australian Cup when looking the winner.

She has drawn nicely in barrier two and with James McDonald in the saddle represents good value at $8.


Morphettville Race 7 - The Goodwood (1200 METRES)

Spright is a warm favourite for the 2019 Goodwood on the back of a good last start win in the TAB Classic and sustained support from punters over the past fortnight.

Spright opened $6 and was $4.50 last week when one punter pinNed the shoulders back with a bet of $100,000 to collect $450,000.

Spright drew poorly in barrier 16 but her racing style, combined with the services of superstar Damien Oliver, will ensure that she remains the one to beat.

She re-opened $3.50 but I anticipate she will be pushed out to about $4.50 come race time.

Last year Santa Ana Lane won this race when starting $26, Vega Magic jumped a drifting $4 favourite and he ran accordingly finishing a disappointing eighth.

At longer odds, there has been a move for the much-travelled Malibu Style; after running second last start to another Goodwood rival, I am Someone, Malibu Style has been backed from $41 into $21.

SUGGESTED BET: Spright the win

Doomben Race 8 - Doomben Cup

An incredibly open edition of the Doomben Cup with the Chris Waller stable saddling up five runners and Kris Lees with three.

The best backed runner has been Youngstar who has firmed from $6 into $4.80 since the early part of the week and deserves to start at the top of the market.

Youngstar had a huge boom on her after winning the 2018 Queensland Oaks, but is without a win in eight subsequent starts.

With leading hoop Kerrin McEvoy in the saddle she looks well placed.

At longer odds I can make a good each-way case for Shillelagh.

The negative is that she is winless in seven starts, but most of those runs have been at elite level and she has put in some big runs including running second in the Australian Cup when looking the winner.

She has drawn nicely in barrier two and with James McDonald in the saddle represents good value at $8.

There has been strong support for Gem Song following the barrier draw; she has been backed from $7.50 into $5.50.

Suggested bet: Shillelagh each-way


Race 8

One of the more open races on the program. The runner I am keen on is the Matt Cummani-trained One More Try who was posted a $6 second elect.

She is building a lovely race resume having won five of her past six starts.

As the race approaches I anticipate the money will come for One More Try and Fastnet Tempest who should start at the top of the market.

Suggested Bet: One More Try each-way.

Race 9

Mantastic from the Chris Waller stable heads the market at $3.80 with popular hoop Craig Newitt in the saddle.

Mantastic won well at Flemington last start over 1800 metres and the step up to 2000 metres looks ideal, despite the fact he ran unplaced in his only prior start over the trip.

The runner who I think represents the early value is the Nick Ryan-trained Mahamedeis.

Mahamedeis won well two starts ago and steps up to 2000 metres where he has won two of his five prior attempts. He has opened $9 which I anticipate will firm; he is worth including in the quaddie.

Suggested bet: Mantastic the win.