TAB Betting Blog: Hartnell can surprise in All-Star Mile

Dwayne Dunn riding Hartnell at Caulfield Reg Ryan/Racing Photos via Getty Images

FLEMINGTON RACE 8

A big day of racing at both Flemington and Rosehill with the feature race the inaugural $5 Million All-Star Mile at Flemington.

The All-Star mile has created plenty of interest, it is a first for Australian racing with the general public determining 10 of the 14 runners in the nation's newest feature race.

Then some class and speed was added to the race with the four wildcards Hawkshot, Hartnell, Happy Clapper and Mystic Journey.

TIP: NO. 11 ALIZEE

The James Cummings trained mare has won her past four starts including three in a row this campaign. She was courageous last start at Caulfield when beating a tougher field in the Group 1 Futurity Stakes.

Again she has drawn an outside barrier, which should not be a negative as it will give her time to find her feet and use her electric turn of foot down the famous Flemington straight.

LONGSHOT: NO. 2 HARTNELL

He is not only a four-time Group 1 winner, Hartnell is one of the most popular horses in country. Just like Hay List made us appreciate how great Black Caviar was, Hartnell was the horse that time and time again made the wonder mare Winx extend to show how great she is.

Hartnell looks ideally suited to run a big race at big odds. He should get a lovely run just off the speed and unlike many of his rivals, he will relish the mile where he has four wins and four placings.

He would be a deserving winner of the race.

AROUND THE GROUNDS

FLEMINGTON

BEST BET: CLARICE CLIFFS (Race 1, No.10)

Clarice Cliffs is an emerging mare who drops back to 1200 metres after just being pipped by the seasoned Oregon's Day last start at Flemington.

She has won both starts over 1200 metres and should make it three from three. On a day of very deep and competitive fields at Flemington, she looks a good bet to start proceedings.

LONGSHOT: ASSERTIVE PLAY (Race 4, No.4)

A Phillip Stokes-trained mare who went straight into the black-book after a super barrier trail at Cranbourne on March 4, Assertive Play has a good first-up record where she is a previous winner and is well suited to the 1100 metre trip where she was won twice from three attempts.

At juicy odds, I expect a bold showing.

ROSEHILL

If you find the winner of the Coolmore Classic, Race 7, then the value will take care of itself.

A capacity field and even bunch of top mares ensures it will be a competitive race, and the threat of a wet track makes it just that slightly bit more challenging.

TIP: NO. 11 I AM SERIOUS

From the Chris Waller stable with premiership leading jockey James McDonald in the saddle, I Am Serious has been popular with TAB punters after opening $8.

She has always been a darling with punters having won eight of her 16 career starts to date and this is a rare opportunity to back her at decent odds

She looks primed for a big campaign and also holds a nomination for several of the key Sydney races this autumn including the Coolmore Stakes, Queen Elizabeth Stakes and Doncaster Mile.

LONGSHOT: NO. 13 PRINCESS POSH

She won well last start and the outside draw may be a blessing later on in the day. She has a good record on rain-affected ground having placed three of six on soft ground and two of three on heavy.

Superstar Kerrin McEvoy takes the ride and can be in the finish at big odds.

BEST BET: VERRY ELLEEGANT (Race 5, No.11)

A Talented filly who resumed from a spell with a terrific run in the Group 3 Vanity Stakes behind Amphitrite over an unsuitable trip, Verry Elleegant steps up to 1500 metres and gains the services of James McDonald.

Looks the one to beat here and is worth a pre-post investment for the Oaks.

VALUE BET: PROBABEEL (Race 3, No.1)

Probabeel is a classy Kiwi filly who has won her past three starts and should appreciate the sting out of the ground.

Stick with her to continue her rise at nice each-way odds. She should give this race a shake and is worth looking at for a pre-post bet for the Group 1 Sires.