The race home to AFLW finals: Who's safe? Who's still in the hunt?

If you can believe it, there are only two rounds left of the AFLW home and away season.

This means the race home to finals is well and truly on and the next two rounds should put up some spicy games, which will help determine the top two and six spots and who gets home ground finals advantages.

There's one spot vulnerable to change in that finals group, while four teams will battle it out for a top two finish and guaranteed preliminary final.

Here's a look at how the next two rounds will help shape the finals and what teams need to do to increase their chances of success come three weeks' time.

Battle for top two: Adelaide, Melbourne, Fremantle and Brisbane

There are four teams locked into the finals who'll now be fighting in the last two rounds for a top two finish: the Adelaide Crows, Melbourne Demons, Fremantle Dockers and Brisbane Lions.

Adelaide are in a pretty tasty position to clinch the minor premiership and at the least, a second spot placing, where a preliminary final is guaranteed. They're on a whopping percentage of 222.1 and play two beatable (for them) teams to finish the home and away season; first Collingwood at Norwood Oval followed by St Kilda at RSEA Park. If they lose one of these and Melbourne win both their games, they'll end second, otherwise, they'll defend their minor premiership.

Melbourne, like Adelaide, are sitting at 28 points with a lower percentage of 164.5. They have a tough next contest against Fremantle at Optus Stadium then an easier 'likely' win against Carlton at Casey Fields. If they get both these wins, they'll lock in a top two spot and with it, a prelim final.

Fremantle currently sit in third spot, four points behind the Demons and Crows. With a greater percentage than the Dees at 189.3, if they beat Melbourne next round at Optus Stadium, then fate will be in their own hands in Round 10 where a win guarantees a week off. After that, they've got Gold Coast at Fremantle Oval, which is a gettable win.

The reigning premiers are also on 24 points, one win behind the top two, and currently have a percentage of 186.3. Like the Dockers, they have a chance to finish in the top pair but will need to win their remaining matches against North Melbourne at Maroochydore and Western Bulldogs at Mars Stadium. For this strong and determined side, it is not an unlikely feat.

Safe in the six: North Melbourne

North Melbourne have already secured their spot in the finals and now will be playing for home ground advantage. A top two spot is very unlikely but not impossible if they rack up a large enough percentage in their last two games. It isn't beyond them, but that assignment is tough. Their remaining games are against Brisbane at Maroochydore (tough) and West Coast at Arden Street (a little easier).

Under pressure: Collingwood

After beating the Dogs comfortably in Round 8, Collingwood are looking good for a place in the finals. Although, currently in sixth position with two teams six points behind and two rounds to go, they are the only team vulnerable to dropping out of the current finals cohort. It's the Western Bulldogs and Gold Coast snapping at the Magpies' heels, and to keep them from leapfrogging, will need to win at least one of their final two games. With Adelaide up next at Norwood Oval then Richmond at Victoria Park, it will most likely be a victory over the Tigers that gets them over the line. Now that'll be a nervy watch if you're a Pies fan.

On the cusp: Western Bulldogs and Gold Coast Suns

The Bulldogs will need a large amount of luck and a lot to fall in place to scrape into the six. They'll need Collingwood to lose both their matches, have the Suns lose one of theirs, and win their own two clashes in the process - with one game (West Coast) a lot easier than the other (Brisbane).

Similarly for the Suns, a lot needs to go their way. They need the Bulldogs to lose one of their matches, the Pies to concede both of theirs and beat both Carlton and Fremantle themselves, the latter looking like an extremely difficult feat. Yet, as last year's wooden spooners, the young team have do have a season to admire. They're no easy beats and stranger things have happened, right?

So you're telling me there's a chance: Carlton and GWS

You can't argue with maths! It's not completely out of the realm of possibility that either Carlton or GWS make the finals, although it almost is. For either team to finish in the top six, they'd need Collingwood, the Western Bulldogs and Gold Coast to lose their remaining two matches, and win their own by mammoth scores to reel in a cosmic percentage gap. We're talking about the kind of margins that the Brisbane had over West Coast last week, and a bit more.

Carlton next plays Gold Coast at Ikon Park then Melbourne at Casey Fields, while GWS contests Richmond at home then Geelong at GMHBA.

If either makes it to finals, I'll shout the whole ESPN team a beer. There, I said it.