NRL Preview Finals Week 2: Brett Kimmorley verdict, TAB odds

Friday, September 15

Brisbane Broncos vs Penrith Panthers, Suncorp Stadium at 7:55pm (AEST)

Broncos: Kodi Nikorima, Corey Oates, James Roberts, Tautau Moga, Jordan Kahu, Anthony Milford, Benji Marshall, Sam Thaiday, Ben Hunt, Adam Blair, Alex Glenn, Matt Gillett, Josh McGuire. Reserves: David Mead, Jai Arrow, Joe Ofahengaue, Herman Essese, Darius Boyd, Jaydn Su'a, Jamayne Isaako, Tevita Pangai

Panthers: Dylan Edwards, Josh Mansour, Tyrone Peachey, Dean Whare, Dallin Watene Zelezniak, Tyrone May, Nathan Cleary, James Tamou, Peter Wallace, Regan Campbell-Gillard, Corey Harawira, Isaah Yeo, Trent Merrin. Reserves: Sione Katoa, Bryce Cartwright, Moses Leota, James Fisher-Harris, Jarome Luai, Viliame Kikau, Sitaleki Akauola, Jed Cartwright

Brett Kimmorley's tip: Panthers

TAB verdict: With Darius Boyd unlikely to play, Brisbane's Kodi Nikorima could struggle under the constant pressure from the superb kicking game that Penrith halfback Nathan Cleary possesses. That deadly kicking game was on full display last week, laying the platform Penrith needed in order to beat Manly, and it shows how much the Panthers' performances are dominated by the 19-year-old half. If Cleary can force the Broncos into having to bring the ball out of their own 20 to begin every set, and Penrith's defensive line speed is similar to what they showed against Manly, then Penrith have the talent to advance to a match-up with premiership favourites Melbourne. We think, at the very least, they can do it enough to keep it close. Tip: Penrith +7.5 @ $1.90

TAB odds: Brisbane $1.40, -7.5 $1.90 Penrith $3.05, +7.5 $1.90

Watch Brett Kimmorley's Broncos vs, Panthers preview

Saturday, September 9

Parramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys, ANZ Stadium at 7:40pm (AEST)

Eels: Will Smith, Semi Radradra, Michael Jennings, Brad Takairangi, Kirisome Auva'a, Corey Norman, Mitchell Moses, Daniel Alvaro, Cameron King, Tim Mannah, Manu Ma'u, Tepai Moeroa, Nathan Brown. Reserves: Beau Scott, Kenny Edwards, Siosaia Vave, Suaia Matagi, Kaysa Pritchard, Peni Terepo, David Gower, Josh Hoffman

Cowboys: Lachlan Coote, Kyle Feldt, Javid Bowen, Kane Linnett, Antonio Winterstein, Te Maire Martin, Michael Morgan, John Asiata, Jake Granville, Scott Bolton, Gavin Cooper, Ethan Lowe, Jason Taumalolo. Reserves: Ben Hampton, Coen Hess, Corey Jensen, Shaun Fensom, Ray Thompson, Justin O'Neill, Braeden Uele, Patrick Mago

Brett Kimmorley's tip: Eels

TAB verdict: We can't believe the price difference between these two as we head into this elimination semiinal and suspect the Parramatta bubble might burst this weekend. Most people think that the Eels pushed the Storm all the way last week, but in reality it should never have got that close. Melbourne were dominating before Cameron Munster was sent to the bin and the Eels scored twice in the ten minute period he was off. After that the Storm played one of their worst games of the season and Parramatta played to just about their peak, and still Melbourne were too good. The Cowboys might be the gutsiest team in recent times, again they looked gone against Cronulla, but somehow they found a way. Team solidarity has taken them this far, and we think they can worry a Parramatta side that may feel a bit of a letdown after putting so much into that game last week. North Queensland have plenty of finals experience over the last five years and they know how to back up from those tough semis. Cowboys to advance and keep this dream run going. Tip: North Queensland hd 2 hd @ $3.50

TAB odds: Parramatta $1.40, -7.5 $1.90 North Queensland $3.05, +7.5 $1.90

Watch Brett Kimmorley's Eels vs Cowboys preview