Seth Walder ESPN Analytics
Assume Clemson, Michigan, Oklahoma and Georgia all win out, Alabama finishes 12-1 and Notre Dame finishes 11-1. In that scenario, Playoff Predictor makes Clemson and Georgia virtual locks and considers Michigan very likely to get in. The decision for the last spot would be almost a toss-up between Oklahoma and Alabama, but our model thinks the committee is more likely to select the Sooners, by a hair. Notre Dame would be the least likely of the six to get in.