TAB Betting Blog: Forgive and forget, Seahampton can sail

Seahampton wins at Randwick on July 7, 2018 Mark Evans/Getty Images


Rosehill Race 5 No.9 Trekking (Kerrin McEvoy) - $2.90

He's always been a talented galloper, but I think Godolphin's now four-year-old son of Street Cry, Trekking, has really turned the corner as a racehorse. Now gelded, we might be about to see the best of him.

It must have been a difficult decision to geld him. He's out of a wonderful family, his dam being Outdoor, a daughter of Redoute's Choice from dual Oaks heroine Serenade Rose; but the two starts Trekking had back in the Autumn suggested to me there's plenty still to come. He knocked up late first up beaten half a length in a four-way go behind I Am Excited, then spanked Spending To Win at Warwick Farm, a horse who has close form ties with Trekking's main danger and the favourite in this race on Saturday, Tactical Advantage.

Trekking was put away after that, but James Cummings sent him around in a Randwick trial a week and a half ago, and he cruised to the line winning the heat in a lovely display. He'll be ready to rock first up here.

He gets a whopping seven kilos off Tactical Advantage and, for me, that's simply too much of a difference and I'm extremely keen that he gets the cash.


Rosehill Race 6 No.5 Oxford Tycoon (Blake Shinn) - $4.40

I reckon Kim Waugh's got a pretty smart three-year-old on her hands here with Oxford Tycoon, who blitzed a field of maidens first up. Waugh has sent him straight back to group company such is her opinion of the son of Written Tycoon.

Oxford Tycoon performed with plenty of merit in a pair of starts as a juvenile, both in stakes grade. He was first beaten a length on debut by one of his rivals here in Sandbar, before a close-up fifth in the Skyline Stakes behind Santos; both times he just failed to finish off when in good positions to win, but it showed that he was a galloper with nice upside.

In that return race, he sat three wide on speed, Blake Shinn obviously feeling like he was on the superior galloper, and he was right, because when Shinn gave him a niggle approaching the turn he put his rivals away quickly, easing down late to win by almost 5 lengths, in a quality display of sustained speed.

I don't think he's a horse that has to lead to win, so Shinn can just see what happens underneath him early on in The Rosebud and assess what he's going to do from that wider gate. Oxford Tycoon gets in nicely on just 54 kilos given he wasn't far away against some opposition here at set weights at two and I reckon he's a sprinter going places, starting with a win here.

Flemington Race 6 No.6 Theanswermyfriend (Ben Allen) - $6.50

Third up, his favourite track and trip, and hopefully Darren Weir has worked his magic on getting him to settle - yep, this is beginning to look a little like D-Day for Theanswermyfriend. But I still think he's a horse with group ability and I see him answering the call here and proving that he's getting back to somewhere near his best.

At his two starts for Weir, it's clearly evident that the master trainer has wanted the hard-pulling son of High Chaparral to settle better. He's obviously instructed the rider on both occasions to attempt to put that into practice on raceday; it's a work in progress and I've got little doubt Weir has been chipping away on it back at home.

Now, with those two runs under his belt, a good alley, and a race that might be devoid of a little early pace, I can see Weir telling Ben Allen to just back off a touch as far as restraining him early and allow Theanswermyfriend to settle closer in the run, without letting him go too fiercely. Hopefully the teaching experience from the past couple of months starts to pay off and he can out himself into a race early, but still conserve some energy for the finish.

Doomben Race 8 No.14 Makes You Think (Paul Hammersley) - $6

A lightly raced four-year-old son of So You Think, Makes You Think won his first two starts earlier this year at the Sunny Coast and Grafton, and was spelled immediately.

He's had two runs back, but Steven O'Dea has essentially been running him out of his grade, sending him round in two Class 3 set-weight Saturday races, where he was poorly in, carrying the same weight as gallopers with a much higher rating than him, but he performed extremely well on both occasions.

He now gets back into a handicap, on the limit weight, gets up to the 1350 metres, and draws perfectly to get the suck run. He's at the very least a Saturday class horse in the making, and this just looks a perfect scenario for him to record that debut Saturday metro victory.


Rosehill Race 4 No.12 Seahampton (Jay Ford) - $9.50

It pays to forgive, never forget that, because it will go a long way to moulding you into a wiser punter. In fact, its right up there amongst the key traits you need to adopt if you are going to be successful backing horses.

Seahampton burnt plenty at her last start, including me, when she failed ingloriously as a well-supported favourite at Randwick three weeks ago. She owed me nothing personally as I was keen on her the start before when she looked a stakes-class galloper in the making winning at the same venue. But it was a tough watch last time out, when she was never in the hunt and, looking back, the way the track played that day lent itself to her having to go against the grain of the day where you simply couldn't make up ground down the outside.

Make no mistake, this is a mare with above average ability. She looked good when forced to go back to the trials since then, and now in a race that looks to have some solid early speed on paper, which may well play into her hands, gets down on the limit.

Give her another may well be handsomely rewarded.



Leg 1 - 2,4,5

Leg 2 - 1,6,11

Leg 3 - 3,10,11,13

Leg 4 - 1,3,7

($100 = 92.59%)


Leg 1 - 3,4,5,6,12,13

Leg 2 - 1,2,9,10

Leg 3 - 6,7

Leg 4 - 6,8,10

($100 = 69.44%)