TAB Betting Blog: Rebels-Brumbies to play out thriller

Will Genia #9 of Rebels passes the ball during the Super Rugby round 3 match between Sunwolves and Rebels. Atsushi Tomura/Getty Images

Super Rugby Round 4 - Rebels vs. Brumbies (Friday 7:45pm AEDT)

The Rebels are unbeaten after their opening two matches, showing their new-look side will be a force to be reckoned with this year.

After a 26-point win over the Reds to kick off their season, the men from Melbourne followed it up with a dominant 20-point victory over the Sunwolves in Tokyo last week.

Scoring five tries to two, they were able to get the ball wide throughout the match, allowing winger Jack Maddocks to become the first Rebel to register a Super Rugby hat-trick.

On the back of this good form, TAB has the Victorian outfit as $1.60 favourites for their Friday night clash against the Brumbies ($2.40) at AAMI Park.

The odds on Stephen Larkham's chargers will certainly tempt a few and Canberra supporters will be citing their team's impressive 50-19 trial victory over the Rebels on February 3 as evidence an upset could be on the cards.

Adding to the case for the Brumbies is their strong record against their southern rival. Convincing 29-point winners the last time the clubs met in this competition, they have also prevailed in two of the last three meetings played in Melbourne.

In any event, plenty expect this to be decided late given the final margin has been eight points or fewer in four of the last five encounters between the sides.

Tip: The Brumbies to win, draw, or lose by one or two points at $1.95

Super Rugby Round 4 - Jaguares vs. Waratahs (Sunday 8:40am AEDT)

The Waratahs may be unbeaten after their opening two fixtures, but they won't be taking anything for granted when they face the Jaguares at Jose Amalfitani Stadium in Buenos Aires on Sunday morning.

Despite three straight losses across the opening three weeks of the competition, the Argentinian outfit has not been as poor as their record suggests, going down to the Lions and Stormers away and a fired-up Hurricanes outfit at home.

What's more, they will have fond memories of their last meeting with the Tahs, a match they dominated to ultimately run out 13-point winners.

Still, the New South Wales side open up firm $1.62 favourites at TAB with their opponent $2.30.

Averaging 29 points per game in attack this season, Daryl Gibson's men have shown they aren't to be taken lightly with ball in hand.

Importantly, they have also rediscovered some grittiness which seemingly went missing late last year when they finished the season with four straight losses.

It is this new-found ability to tough it out, perfectly demonstrated in their draw with the Sharks last week, that has many predicting NSW in a tight affair.

Tip: The Waratahs to defeat the Jaguares at $1.62

Bet of the Week

Potential collect for $10 outlay = $153.90

Leg 1: Brumbies (Head to Head) @ $2.50

Despite a loss to the Reds last week, the Brumbies aren't to be written off against the undefeated Rebels. The Canberra side won the last fixture between these clubs and has triumphed in two of the last three meetings played in Melbourne. Stephen Larkham's chargers also won their February 3 trial match against their southern opponent by 31 points.

Leg 2: Sunwolves (Line) @ $2.00

The Sunwolves may have lost their opening two fixtures, but they have been far from embarrassed. A spirted showing against the Brumbies in Week 2 of the competition put rivals on notice that they weren't to be taken too lightly this season. Adding to their claims at the line is the fact the Sharks are yet to win a match this year and have never beaten the men from Japan by a margin of 22 points or more (two previous meetings).

Leg 3: Blues (Line) @ $1.90

The Lions away is a tough proposition for the Auckland side, but they will be quietly confident of springing the upset after a decent showing across their opening two fixtures against NZ opposition. Despite losing both games, the Blues only went down by a margin of seven points in each. What's more, two of the last three meetings between these opponents has been decided by three points or fewer.

Leg 4: Waratahs (Head to Head) @ $1.62

The Waratahs haven't been at their absolute best in attack in their opening two fixtures, but have still managed to average 29 points per game. Although the Jaguares defeated NSW the last time these sides met, the Argentinians have now lost three straight and allowed the Hurricanes to cross the line five times last week.