Mitchell Lamb from tab.com.au has assessed the weekend form, with a couple of value-added Australia Day tips for Warwick Farm.
Dollar For Dollar didn't quite live up to punters' expectations, or probably Tony McEvoy's, when racing last winter; he was still lightly raced and there was still enough time for him to turn things around, but four average efforts in a row wasn't part of the plan.
Fast forward to late November, and Dollar For Dollar had just strung together four straight -- the last of them the Group 3 Sandown Stakes, and McEvoy must have been extremely satisfied that the son of High Chaparral finally was displaying the ability that his trainer had always thought he possessed.
A short break followed by a rock solid performance when third in the Chester Manifold last time out, and Dollar For Dollar looks primed to get back into the winner's circle in the John Dillon. Jamie Kah could lead, but will most likely take a sit behind Master Reset or Tshahitsi; Dollar For Dollar looks set to get a sweet run, and that last run will have him right up to the mark fitness wise.
I expect him to win and perhaps there's some early autumn riches in the near future.
Around The Grounds
If you were on Temprado at the double-figure odds a couple of weeks ago at Canterbury (guilty as charged), then you had to be pretty sick the way things unfolded after they turned for home. Tye Angland had ridden the son of Pierro perfectly, going back from a wide draw then sneaking up on the inside down the back, but you could sense trouble was looming. Sure enough, all the runners outside Temprado created a "wall" around him, and he was locked away as the leader and eventual winner Shumookh found a gear and kicked away to win while the selection was hard held with nowhere to go.
Last of seven runners is a completely unfair form reference. Temprado arguably should have won the race if he'd got the run when Angland first went for it, and I've got no doubt the horse is going well.
Now this is probably a better race, even with Shumookh showing that she's no slouch by running a game second to the unbeaten D'argento last Saturday, and Temprado will need to have improved again. But that should be the case and we know he certainly wasn't overtaxed in his previous run.
Blake Shinn takes over and he may have to go back again from the wide barrier, but I expect there to be speed on up front and hopefully he gets every chance this time to show his wares in the straight.
Missile Coda, a winner of three of her six starts, is clearly an above-average talent, and this campaign might be the time we get to see her really flourish and get to stakes grade.
You have to forgive her two unplaced efforts at the end of the last campaign: She had zero luck in decent company at Randwick behind Isorich, and then she might have had enough when fourth to Slow Burn under a big weight. Prior to that, her win at Canterbury was sensational and a truer reflection of her ability.
I think the Snowdens have found a lovely race for her to kick things off this prep, and she looks set to perform after two very forward-looking trials.
She's also quite versatile, so Josh Parr can let her jump and see what the others are going to do from his outside draw before either sending her forward or grabbing a hold; either way she's got plenty of upside and can take care of these if she's set to go.
A threequarter-brother to star stablemate Menari, also owned and bred by George Altomonte, Omar seems to have been blessed with at least a smidgen of his freakish realtion's ability given what we've seen in his two trials.
He pushed Performer, the Breeders' Plate winner and current second favourite for the Golden Slipper, at his first effort before being given a quieter trial just last Monday to have him ready to go here.
It's getting to that stage where these juveniles with potential Slipper ambitions need to start winning prizemoney if they haven't done so yet, so Omar needs to get wins under his belt straight away if connections do believe this guy is a possible contender. I'll be shocked if Gerald Ryan doesn't have Omar right up to the mark for his debut.
Others here have also flashed quality, but Omar draws perfectly and I feel confident he'll be pretty classy.
They don't need to say it but you just know that the Snowden's have a high opinion of Pure Elation, and she looks set to be given every chance to be their No. 1 Blue Diamond seed for the 2018 edition.
Pure Elation was sent for a spell after two spring barrier trials, the second an eyecatching win over the talented stakes placed filly Fiesta, obviously with the view that she just needed a little more time to mature into exactly what Team Snowden wanted to see.
They then send her straight to Melbourne, no Sydney trial required, and give her a jumpout at Werribee, where she looked the goods. Now we see her ready to go in the Blue Diamond Preview, and all that indicates, in my mind at least, that the father-son duo have big ambitions for the daughter of I Am Invincible.
She's drawn well, so that's a box ticked, and at this stage the five furlongs will best suit her. I'll be very surprised if she isn't pretty smart and, unless one of the others here is extra good, I think she'll win.
Over The Odds
Rothabye is a Sunny Coast galloper, who, for the most part of his racing career, has plied his trade at his home circuit; in fact, he is unplaced in four efforts away from his home track, including a last-start 10th in the Magic Millions Country Cup at the Gold Coast, where it appeared to me that he genuinely didn't handle the tighter turning circuit.
The 1400 metres here is his pet track and trip -- he's two from three with a placing -- and this really isn't a fantastic field he takes on; plus he's drawn to get the gun run from the inside gate, and he'll carry no weight on his back after Adam Sewell's claim.
That last run is forgivable, and his first-up win was dominant; he looks fantastic value at that current quote, and, for me, he should be almost half that price.
Leg 1 - 6,8,12
Leg 2 - 4,7
Leg 3 - 1,3,4,7,8,10,14
Leg 4 - 1,3,6,8,10
($100 = 47.62 percent)
Leg 1 - 1,4,6
Leg 2 - 1,2,4,5
Leg 3 - 1,2,6,7,8
Leg 4 - 7,9,13
($100 = 55.56 percent)
Leg 1 - 1,3,4,6,7,8,11
Leg 2 - 2,3,7,8
Leg 3 - 7,10
Leg 4 - 2,5,7,8,11
($100 = 35.71 percent)
Leg 1 - 1,3,4,5,7
Leg 2 - 3,4,5`
Leg 3 - 3
Leg 4 - 2,4,6
($100 = 222.22 percent)
TAB Early Market Movers and Best Bets
Race 3 - Prometheus $8 - $5.50 ($300 @ $6)
Race 6 - Moss Trip $3.60 - $3.10 ($200 @ $3.60, $200 @ $3.40)
Race 7 - George Patton - $4.60 - $3.20 ($280 @ $4.60, $442 @ $4.40, $1,000 @ $3.80, $1,000 @ $3.60, $1,777 @ $3.20)
Race 3 - Pure Elation $3.90 - $3.40 ($500 @ $3.90, $200 @ $3.60, $200 @ $3.50)
Race 5 - Epic Moment $4 - $3.80 ($700 @ $4)