AFL Round Finals Week 1: teams, previews and odds

Thursday, September 7

Adelaide Crows vs. GWS Giants, Adelaide Oval at 7:20pm (AEST)

Crows: B Rory Laird, Daniel Talia, Luke Brown HB Jake Kelly, Kyle Hartigan, David Mackay C Brodie Smith, Brad Crouch, Rory Atkins HF Tom Lynch, Taylor Walker, Charlie Cameron F Eddie Betts, Josh Jenkins, Mitch McGovern FOL Sam Jacobs, Richard Douglas, Matt Crouch I/C Riley Knight, Jake Lever, Hugh Greenwood, Paul Seedsman

Giants: B Adam Tomlinson, Phil Davis, Heath Shaw HB Nathan Wilson, Aidan Corr, Brett Deledio C Lachie Whitfield, Callan Ward, Tom Scully HF Josh Kelly, Jeremy Cameron, Rory Lobb F Toby Greene, Jonathon Patton, Matt de Boer FOL Shane Mumford, Stephen Coniglio, Jacob Hopper I/C Nick Haynes, Harrison Himmelberg, Zac Williams, Dylan Shiel

TAB verdict: The money has been running two to one in the favour of Adelaide to win this and progress to a home preliminary final. The Giants don't have a good record at Adelaide Oval, winning only one of five, or against the Crows, winning one of the past eight. All this points to an Adelaide victory by 1-39 points ($2.15).

TAB odds: Adelaide $1.50 v GWS $2.65

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Friday, September 8

Geelong vs. Richmond, MCG at 7:50pm

Cats: B Tom Stewart, Tom Lonergan, Jed Bews HB Zach Tuohy, Lachie Henderson, Jake Kolodjashnij C Andrew Mackie, Joel Selwood, Mark Blicavs HF Jordan Murdoch, Harry Taylor, Steven Motlop F Brandan Parfitt, Tom Hawkins, James Parsons FOL Zac Smith, Patrick Dangerfield, Cameron Guthrie I/C Mitch Duncan, Zach Guthrie, Sam Menegola, Scott Selwood

Tigers: B Brandon Ellis, Alex Rance, Dylan Grimes HB Bachar Houli, David Astbury, Nick Vlastuin C Kamdyn McIntosh, Trent Cotchin, Jacob Townsend HF Kane Lambert, Dustin Martin, Shane Edwards F Dan Butler, Jack Riewoldt, Daniel Rioli FOL Toby Nankervis, Dion Prestia, Shaun Grigg I/C Josh Caddy, Jack Graham, Nathan Broad, Jason Castagna

TAB verdict: The Tiger Army have been putting their money where their mouth is, with Richmond enjoying the majority of the money in this match. With no finals victory since 2001 and the Cats boasting 13 victories in a row against the Tiges, it is very hard to tip against Geelong. Cats to be leading at half and full time ($2.10).

TAB odds: Geelong $1.77 v Richmond $2.10

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Saturday, September 9

Sydney Swans vs. Essendon, SCG at 4.20 pm

Swans: B Nick Smith, Heath Grundy, Dane Rampe HB Callum Mills, Lewis Melican, Jarrad McVeigh C Jake Lloyd, Josh P. Kennedy, Isaac Heeney HF George Hewett, Lance Franklin, Gary Rohan F Kieren Jack, Callum Sinclair, Sam Reid FOL Sam Naismith, Luke Parker, Dan Hannebery I/C Zak Jones, Nic Newman, Tom Papley, Dean Towers

Bombers: B James Kelly, Michael Hartley, Mark Baguley HB Andrew McGrath, Patrick Ambrose, Conor McKenna C Jobe Watson, Darcy Parish, Brendon Goddard HF Zach Merrett, James Stewart, Martin Gleeson F Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti, Joe Daniher, Joshua Begley FOL Tom Bellchambers, David Zaharakis, Dyson Heppell I/C Orazio Fantasia, Michael Hurley, David Myers, Travis Colyer

TAB verdict: Sydney has been extremely well backed in this match with the money running three to one in their favour. Essendon haven't won at the SCG since 2009 though were seconds away from victory in their round 14 clash this season. The Swans to progress through to the semi finals with a comfortable win by 20-39 points ($3.50).

TAB odds: Sydney $1.20 v Essendon $4.75

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Port Adelaide vs. West Coast Eagles, Adelaide Oval at 7:20pm

Power: B Jasper Pittard, Tom Clurey, Dan Houston HB Darcy Byrne-Jones, Dougal Howard, Hamish Hartlett C Justin Westhoff, Ollie Wines, Jared Polec HF Sam Gray, Todd Marshall, Robbie Gray F Jarman Impey, Charlie Dixon, Chad Wingard FOL Paddy Ryder, Brad Ebert, Travis Boak I/C Sam Powell-Pepper, Jake Neade, Karl Amon, Riley Bonner

Eagles: B Shannon Hurn, Eric Mackenzie, Tom Barrass HB Elliot Yeo, Jeremy McGovern, Brad Sheppard C Liam Duggan, Matt Priddis, Andrew Gaff HF Jack Redden, Jack Darling, Lewis Jetta F Drew Petrie, Josh J. Kennedy, Mark LeCras FOL Nathan Vardy, Sam Mitchell, Luke Shuey I/C Dom Sheed, Jamie Cripps, Luke Partington, Mark Hutchings

TAB verdict: Both times these two teams faced off this season the outsider won so it should come as no surprise that the punters are tipping another upset in this elimination final. Sixty-nine percent of the money has been on the Eagles to win and the stats suggests they could be on the money. Port Adelaide failed to defeat a team in the top eight this season, while West Coast has won five of out six games at Adelaide Oval, which points to an Eagles victory by 1-39 points ($3.40).

TAB odds: Port Adelaide $1.42 v West Coast $3

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*Odds correct as of Wednesday 11am